Oklahoma Democrat Primary Voters Dropped 58% In 4 Years.
This past week, Oklahomans were summoned to the election polls for a civic tradition as old as democracy, itself.
But of the roughly 2 to 3 million Oklahomans who practically could vote, only about 526K actually got registered & did cast a ballot.
Just 4 years ago, about 848K were actively voting. We're not counting the separate 45K independent and minor party votes in these totals. Independents who voted in Democrat primaries are counted in the Democrat tallies.
The only significant practical difference is a statewide question about cannabis medicine policy on the ballot.
Republican primary voter participation dropped 21% from 4 years ago. This drop happened despite having both US Senate seats in play this year. There were no US Senate seats on the ballot in 2018.
Another way to read the historical trends is to remove the 2018 data, as an anomaly caused by the cannabis issue (State Question 788).
If we compare 2022 primary data to 2014 primary data, we see Democrat turnout a stagnant, while Republican voters increased 35% over those same 8 years.
What this suggests for the upcoming November general elections is a Democrat shellacking; unless independents and disgruntled Republicans side with the Democrat nominee, or massive new voters show up.
Statewide offices will be swept by the Grand 'ol Party by a 2:1 ratio.
Urban & college towns have a very different demographic, and the Democrats will continue a token representation in the legislature.
But then, there's the mother's milk factor. Massive dark money is already gunning for the Republican Gubernatorial office.
If the anti-Stitt groups are spending millions in April & May, they will flood tens of millions in October.